Service Plays Tuesday 09/15/09

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Thank you, wilheim..

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Hondo

Hondo hit with the Rays as both ended their losing streaks last night, but, sadly, Mr. Aitch started a new one, losing with the Angels, Pats and Chargers to fall 1,375 hallers into the hole.

Tonight, he'll take it slow with Zito -- 10 units on the Giants.
 
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MLB DUNKEL


Colorado at San Francisco
The Giants look to build on their 5-2 record in Barry Zito's last 7 starts as a home underdog. San Francisco is the pick (+130) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 15

Game 951-952: Washington at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Mock) 14.843; Philadelphia (Lee) 14.233
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-290); 9
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+250); Over

Game 953-954: NY Mets at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Misch) 13.845; Atlanta (Hanson) 16.125
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-260); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-260); Over

Game 955-956: Houston at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Oswalt) 15.150; Cincinnati (Wells) 13.991
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-170); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-170); Over

Game 957-958: Milwaukee at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 15.370; Cubs (Zambrano) 15.716
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-125); N/A

Game 959-960: Florida at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (West) 15.150; St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.472
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-240); 8
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+220); Under

Game 961-962: Arizona at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Haren) 15.429; San Diego (Leblanc) 14.858
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-135); Under

Game 963-964: Pittsburgh at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Duke) 13.136; LA Dodgers (Wolf) 16.172
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 3; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-240); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-240); Under

Game 965-966: Colorado at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 15.093; San Francisco (Zito) 16.008
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-140); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+130); Over

Game 967-968: Kansas City at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Tejeda) 15.374; Detroit (Washburn) 15.001
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1/2; 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+160); Over

Game 969-970: Toronto at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Halladay) 15.632; NY Yankees (Mitre) 15.230
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 971-972: Tampa Bay at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Niemann) 16.048; Baltimore (Berken) 14.828
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140); Under

Game 973-974: LA Angels at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Lackey) 15.730; Boston (Matsuzaka) 16.717
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-115); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+105); Under

Game 975-976: Oakland at Texas
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gonzalez) 15.466; Texas (McCarthy) 15.569
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Texas (-205); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-205); Over

Game 977-978: Cleveland at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Carmona) 15.025; Minnesota (Baker) 14.866
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-205); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+185); Under

Game 979-980: Chicago White Sox at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Garcia) 15.299; Seattle (Snell) 16.504
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Seattle (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-115); Over
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Raiders ( 10) Monday night.

Today it's the Brewers. The surplus is 1,290 sirignanos.
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

TUEDAY, SEPTEMBER 15

NATIONAL LEAGUE

Colorado (82-63) at San Francisco (78-66)

The Rockies look to move a step closer to wrapping up the N.L. wild-card berth when they send ace Ubaldo Jimenez (13-10, 3.32 ERA) to the mound against the Giants’ Barry Zito (9-12, 3.99) at AT&T Park.

Colorado has followed up an eight-game winning streak with three straight losses – two in San Diego over the weekend and last night’s 9-1 setback to the Giants. The Rockies are in additional funks of 1-6 on the road, 0-4 on the highway against lefty starters and 0-6 versus winning teams, though they have won four in a row on Tuesday.

San Francisco remains 3½ games behind Colorado in the wild-card race, having lost five of its last eight, including four of six to N.L. West opponents at home. The Giants do hold a slim 9-7 lead in the season series against the Rockies, including five straight wins at home. In fact, the host has won seven straight and nine of 10 in this rivalry.

Jimenez delivered his 12th consecutive quality start on Sept. 7 at home against Cincinnati, allowing three runs on six hits in six innings, getting a no-decision as Colorado won 4-3. Jimenez has allowed three earned runs or fewer in 21 of his last 25 starts, giving up two earned or less in 15 of those contests. Colorado is 7-1 in Jimenez’s last eight starts overall, but they’ve lost 10 of his 15 road efforts this year, where the right-hander is 5-6 with a 3.42 ERA.

Jimenez has faced the Giants four times this season – including twice in the last three weeks – going 2-2 with a 2.48 ERA, but 0-2 with a 3.21 ERA at AT&T Park. For his career, he’s 3-3 with a 2.43 ERA in nine starts against the Giants (1-2, 3.55 ERA in San Francisco), never allowing more than three runs in any of those nine contests.

Zito suffered a 4-2 home loss to the Padres on Wednesday, allowing three runs in five innings. The veteran southpaw has pitched very well in the second half of the season, going 4-3 with a 2.34 ERA in 11 starts since the All-Star break, allowing three runs or fewer in every start. With Wednesday’s loss to San Diego, Zito is now 5-5 with a 3.80 ERA in 14 home starts this year (4-1, 2.61 ERA last five at home).

With Zito on the mound, the Giants are on runs of 7-3 overall, 4-1 on Tuesday, 4-1 against teams with a winning record and 4-1 when he faces Colorado at home (2-0 this year at home). In fact, Zito has owned the Rockies, going 3-2 with a 1.92 ERA in 10 lifetime starts. In three outings this year against the Rockies, the former Cy Young winner has allowed just two runs (one earned) in 21 1/3 innings (0.42 ERA)

Colorado carries “under” trends of 6-2 overall, 7-3 on the highway, 8-4 versus N.L. West rivals, 10-4-1 on Tuesday, 45-22 overall behind Jimenez, 5-2 when Jimenez throws on the road, 4-1 when he pitches on Tuesday and 5-1 when he faces divisional foes. The over is 6-2 in San Francisco’s last eight at home, but with Zito pitching, the Giants are on “under” runs of 5-1 overall, 4-1 at home and 20-8 in Game 2 of a series.

In this rivalry, the “under” is on runs of 6-2 in San Francisco, 6-2-1 when Zito faces the Rockies (4-0 last four at home) and 7-2 when Jimenez takes on the Giants.

ATS ADVANTAGE: SAN FRANCISCO and UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

L.A. Angels (86-57) at Boston (84-58)

A potential divisional-round playoff preview is set for Fenway Park, where Daisuke Matsuzaka (0-2, 9.88 ERA) is scheduled to pitch in the big leagues for the first time in nearly three months when he and the Red Sox match up against the Angels and John Lackey (10-7, 3.53).

After capping a 5-1 homestand with a 3-2 victory over the White Sox on Sunday, the Angels went to New York for a makeup game against the Yankees and fell 5-3, allowing the winning runs to score in the bottom of the eighth inning. Los Angeles is still 8-3 in its last 11 and is on further runs of 57-28 overall, 27-13 on the road, 20-8 in series openers, 47-24 against the A.L. East and 6-2 versus right-handed starters.

Boston took Monday off after an impressive three-game weekend sweep of the Rays in which the pitching staff surrendered just two runs. The Red Sox have won five straight – all during their current homestand – and are on additional upticks of 49-19 at Fenway, 41-19 in series openers, 43-14 after an off day and 36-17 on Tuesday, but Terry Francona’s squad has lost seven of its last 10 to A.L. West foes.

The Angels have taken four of six against Boston this season, all in Anaheim, and they’re 13-5 in the last 18 meetings overall and 6-2 in the last eight at Fenway. However, three of those five losses (including two in Boston) came in last year’s first-round, best-of-5 playoff series, which the Red Sox won in four games.

Lackey has delivered back-to-back complete games, including Thursday’s 3-0 shutout win over Seattle in which he scattered five hits and one walk while striking out seven. The veteran right-hander is 2-0 with a 0.35 ERA in his last three starts (all L.A. victories), giving up just 16 hits and three walks while whiffing 17 in 26 innings. Lackey is 4-2 with a 3.77 ERA in 12 road starts, with the Angels going 5-2 in his last seven on the highway.

Los Angeles is also 4-1 in Lackey’s last five against the A.L. East, but they’ve lost 11 of his last 15 outings against winning teams and four straight behind the big man on Tuesday. Also, L.A. is 3-13 in Lackey’s 16 career starts against the Red Sox (playoffs included), going 2-8 at Fenway Park. Last year, the Texas native faced the Red Sox four times, going 2-0 with a 2.81 ERA in two regular season starts (one home, one road) but 0-1 with a 2.63 ERA in two playoff outings (one home, one road, with the Angels losing both). He’s 3-6 with a 5.54 ERA in 13 regular-season games against the BoSox.

This has been a nightmare season for Matsuzaka, who has battled shoulder pain and ineffectiveness all year. He’s made nine starts – the last being an 8-2 home loss to Atlanta on June 19 – and hasn’t made it through six innings in any game. He’s 0-2 with a 9.88 ERA in his last three trips to the mound, and he’s 0-4 with an 8.55 ERA in four home starts.

The Sox are still 33-13 in Matsuzaka’s last 46 starts overall and 9-4 in his last 13 against A.L. West opponents. He’s faced the Angels three times (including in Game 2 of last year’s ALDS), allowing 12 runs in 14 2/3 innings (7.36 ERA), with Boston going 2-1.

With Lackey pitching, the Angels are on “under” runs of 5-2 overall, 4-1-1 on the road, 6-2-2 on Tuesday and 4-1 when he faces Boston. Similarly, the under is 4-1-1 in Dice-K’s last six starts overall, 8-2-1 in his last 11 at home and 10-3-1 in his last 14 on Tuesday.

L.A. is riding “under” streaks of 15-3-1 overall, 6-0 on the road, 11-1-1 against right-handed starters and 5-0 on Tuesday, but the over is 36-18-4 in the Halos’ last 58 against the A.L. East. Conversely, the over is 16-7 in Boston’s last 23 at Fenway Park, 12-1 in its last 13 series openers, 5-2 in its last seven against the A.L. West and 4-1 in its last five on Tuesday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS and UNDER
 

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Bobby Maxwell

Tuesday's winner...
200-Unit N.L. Wildcard E-Z Winner - S.F. GIANTS

The National League wildcard race could get a lot more interesting if the Giants can dominate the Rockies in this series and expect San Francisco to get Game 2 tonight behind the pitching of lefty Barry Zito (9-12, 3.99 ERA).

The Giants won Monday night 9-1 and have moved to within 3 1/2 games of the Rockies in the wildcard race. Colorado has gone into a funk after its eight-game winning streak, now losers of three in a row, the Rockies have been a disaster on the road lately, going 1-6 as a visitor, 0-4 on the road against southpaws and 0-6 against winning teams.

In this rivalry, the home team has won seven straight and nine of 10, giving the Giants a distinct advantage in this one. Something Zito has not been known for is consistency, but this season he's been the model of consistency. He's held each of his last 10 opponents to three runs or less and he's gone at least six innings in nine of his last 10 starts.

Zito has dominated the Rockies this season in three outings, allowing a combined two runs (one earned) in 21.1 innings of work. In fact, he hasn't allowed more than two earned runs in an outing to the Rockies since May of 2007.

Ubaldo Jimenez (13-10, 3.32) goes for Colorado for the fifth time this season against San Francisco. The Rockies are 2-2 in the first four outings, losing both times he's started in San Francisco, and they are just 4-10 in his last 14 roadies overall.

The Giants are 4-1 in Zito's last five at home and 21-7 when they are at home against a team with a winning road record. San Francisco is definitely the play in this one. Go with the Giants and the plus-money.
 
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Charlie

3-0 night on 500*

mlb.
brewers @ cubs under 9 runs,
marlins @ cards under 8' runs &
toronto @ yankees under 8' runs (500*)


mlb. toronto-130 (30*)
mlb. tampa bay-140 (20*)
mlb. arizona-135 (20*)
 
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RX Junior



Join Date: Jul 2009
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St.Bernadines Sports
<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82; BACKGROUND-COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Randy Wood (PingPongFool)

4-0 yesterday on posted plays here at RX

Today's Plays
1* Two Team Parlay Phillies -290/ Cardinals -240
(G Mock - R must Start C Lee - L must Start) <?XML:NAMESPACE PREFIX = O /><O:p></O:p>(S West - L must Start Wainwright - R must Start)<O:p></O:p>
Two great teams and two great pitchers. Lee has given up several runs in last few starts but I look for a very solid outing from him tonight. Wainwright is one of the Sho'Nuff' studs for the Cards. I had the Cards last night and I will take them again tonight in this two team parlay.

2** Tampa Bay Rays -138
The wait is over. The Rays finally ended their losing streak. They are all but out of the wild card race unless several teams start a similar losing streak that the Rays just ended and the Rays win nearly every game. Well anything can happen but let's look at why the Rays will win tonight...... Let's forget for a moment that they have their ace on the mound, Jeff Niemann. Niemann has not had a winning decision in his last three outings, even while pitching an average of 1.66 ERA in those 3 starts. It would not surprise me to see Niemann allow more runs tonight than he has in his last 3 but he should pitch well enough to get the job done. The main reason they will win tonight is they are recovering from a complete lack of self confidence and belief that they can win. To say they have just gone through a meltdown is an understatement. The Rays will win tonight because they are starting to believe in themselves again. It is very hard to be a team that has talent and has confidence. The Rays have not won 73 games this season without having the tools. They certainly had everything in place to make a run at the playoffs again. <O:p></O:p>
The line at the time I am writing this is only -138. This line is really off. Look for another win tonight as the Rays beat the O's for a second straight time.

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Benjamin lee Eckstein

Ben lee lost on Monday with the Rangers -$220/A's.(He is 1-4 his last 5 games)

For Tuesday "Mr Chalk" likes the Twins -$220/Indians.

"Mr Chalk" is 0-1 -$220 for the week and is 78-61 -$2150 for the MLB season.
 

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Brandon Lang

10 DIMER - LA ANGELS - All about John Lackey tonight.

Since he started the season on the DL, it's been an uphill battle for Lackey to get into the form we all know him for. He finally has it going now.

Over his last 3 starts he is 2-0 with an ERA of 0.35 and what is even more impressive is what he has done in his last 2 starts.

I'm talking back to back 9 inning efforts in which he just beat the Mariners with a complete game 6-hit shutout, and before that he allowed a run on 5 hits in a no decision over the Royals, a game the Angels won 2-1 in 10 innings.

All told he is on a run of 1 earned over his last 26 innings and the Angels have won all 3 of those starts.

Dice K's last start was back in June and he was torched for 6 runs, on 8 hits in 4 innings. He has battled shoulder problems all year long and truth be told, he hasn't been right and the numbers show.

He has made 8 starts here in 2009 and here are the numbers.

How about 32 runs in 34 innings and in 6 of those 8 starts he has given up 4 earned or more and he has made it to the 6th inning only twice.

You can throw as many bullpen sessions as you want, and you may look good doing it, but as a big league pitcher when you are not right you are not right but you take the mound anyways because you are getting big dollars to do so.

I feel that is the case with Dice K this year and the patience of the Angel hitters will get to him and Lackey will stay hot on the other end for a nice Angel win.

LOS ANGELES ANGELS (Lackey over Matsuzaka)
 
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MLB Plays


MLB Baseball

25* Play Houston (-155) over Cincinnati (MLB PLAY)

Cincinnati has lost 6 of the last 8 games and they have also lost 16 of the last 22 games vs. Houston on the road. Roy Oswalt has won 30 of the last 41 games when playing in the 2nd half of the season and he is 22-1 vs. Cincinnati over his career with an ERA of 2.53.

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25* Play Detroit (-165) over Kansas City (MLB PLAY)

Kansas City has lost 10 of the last 15 games when playing with a day off and they have also lost 25 of the last 35 games when allowing two runs or less in the last game. Detroit has won 9 of the last 11 games after having lost five or six of the last seven games and they have also won 37 of the last 54 games when playing as a favorite of -110 or higher.
 

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Matt Dennehy/Lillefty
1-1-0 posted plays here at RX



1* Toronto/NYY Over -8.5
Halladay while great last time vs the yanks has been below average in most of his recent starts. Toronto has won only one of his last 5 starts and he has a 4.50 ERA during that time.
Mitre is the weak link in the Yankee rotation and has has only 2 good starts since the beginning of August. His home starts have had an average of 10.5 runs scored in them . Last time out he was bombed miserably. He is on a bounce back but he isn't a good enough pitcher to warrant a forecast of a 1 run effort.
The over is 8-3-1 in the last 12 head to head meetings


1* KC +155 Bonus Play
Tejeda has been awesome since being put in the starting rotation. 11 IP only 4 hits 0 runs and 14 K's. He has fantastic movement on all his pitches and looks like the real deal. KC has won 6 of their last 7 and the last 4 head to head meetings between the 2 teams. KC is hitting .317 vs lefties in the last 10 games.
Washburn has been a mixed bag for the Tigers. One start good, next awful. He has a losing lifetime record vs KC, and has had only 2 Quality Starts out of 8 for the Tigers. The tigers aren't exactly sealing the deal in the Central, winning only 2 of their last 7 games.
 

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4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 NY Mets @ Atlanta Braves (Tuesday @ 7pm est). Patrick Misch comes off a tough loss to Florida where he gave up five runs in 6 innings at home in a division game. I expect Misch to pitch much better against another division foe in Atlanta today to redeem himself. Misch had given up just 3 runs in 18 innings prior to that start. Hanson pitched brilliantly in his last start at Houston and gave up 0 runs in 8 innings and yet the Braves still managed to lose the game 1-2. Hanson is 9-3 with a 2.83era this season and he continues to pitch regardless. Hanson has pitched 8 of 9 quality starts coming into this game and I look for Hanson to seek his first win in his last 3 starts. The Under is 5-1 in the Mets last 6 games when the total is set at this margin and the Under is 9-4-1 for the Braves in the last 14 games at home.

4 Unit Play. Take Under 8.5 Houston @ Cincinnati Reds (Tuesday @ 7:10pm est). Oswalt had one of his worst performances of his career giving up 6 runs in just 2 innings in his last effort against the Braves. The ace coming into that game had given up just 7 runs in four starts in a total of 26 innings to put the last start in perspective. I expect Roy to bounce-back here on the road against the Reds. In fact, I expect both pitchers to pitch well as Wells comes off a rough start at Coors Field giving up 5 runs in 5 innings. Kip had given up just 2 runs in 12 innings prior to that. The Under is 4-1 for Oswalt when he is a favorite by this margin, the Under is 4-0 in Wells' last 4 starts overall and the Under is 9-2 for the Reds overall.

4 Unit Play. Take the Colorado Rockies -130 over the San Francisco Giants (Tuesday @ 10:15pm est). Ubaldo has come a long way as a starter. He has 13 wins on the year and an era of 3.32. He has put together 10 plus quality starts and I like him here facing San Fran as he fell short to this team the last time he faced them. Ubaldo gave up 2 runs in 7 innings and still fell short to the Giants and I expect him to exact a little bit of revenge today. Ubaldo did not pick up a win in his last start and I look for him to see his 14th win of the year today. Zito comes off a home loss to the Padres as he looks to help the Giants reach the playoffs. Zito has dominated the Rockies of late giving up just 1 run over the last 14.1 innings. But, I expect the Rockies to get to Zito today. They had 8 hits as compared to 3 hits over the last 2 starts by Zito. This time around, I expect them to pick up the win as they look to bounce-back from the beating they took yesterday at the hands of the Giants. The Rockies are 7-0 when Ubaldo is a favorite and the Giants are 11-24 as an Underdog by this margin.
 

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Johnny Keelen (abats)
0-2 Posted yesterday at the RX

1* LAA/Boston Under 9.5 (-110)
 

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Ok, get ready for this:

1.5-Unit Play. Take #954 Atlanta (-1.5, -110) over N.Y. Mets (7 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 15)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #960 St. Louis (-1.5, -115) over Florida (8 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 15)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #964 L.A. Dodgers (-1.5, -110) over Pittsburgh (10 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 15)


1.5-Unit Play. Take #980 Seattle (-105) over Chicago White Sox (10 p.m.,Tuesday, Sept. 15)


1-Unit Play. Take #968 Detroit (-155) over Kansas City (7 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 15)


1-Unit Play. Take #955 Houston (-155) over Cincinnati (7 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 15)


0.5-Unit Play. Take #975 Oakland (+170) over Texas (8 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 15)



Today’s Totals
2.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 7.5 Pittsburgh at L.A. Dodgers (10 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 15)

1.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 Tampa Bay at Baltimore (7 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 15)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 9.5 Oakland at Texas (8 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 15)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Chicago White Sox at Seattle (10 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 15)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.5 L.A. Angels at Boston (7 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 15)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 N.Y. Mets at Atlanta (7 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 15)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Kansas City at Detroit (7 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 15)

1-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 9.0 Washington at Philadelphia (7 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 15)

0.5-Unit Play. Take ‘Under’ 8.5 Houston at Cincinnati (7 p.m., Tuesday, Sept. 15)

That's it for today. Writeups to follow. Ferringo
 

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